| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | plutao.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W/44SJL4L |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/plutao/2021/06.16.15.18.18 (restricted access) |
| Last Update | 2021:06.17.12.18.21 (UTC) simone |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/plutao/2021/06.16.15.18.19 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2024:01.23.14.38.51 (UTC) simone |
| DOI | 10.3389/fclim.2021.610433 |
| ISSN | 2624-9553 |
| Label | lattes: 2194275113941232 3 MarengoCamAlvDinBet:2021:AnBr |
| Citation Key | MarengoCamAlvDinBet:2021:AnBr |
| Title | Extreme Rainfall and Hydro-Geo-Meteorological Disaster Risk in 1.5, 2.0, and 4.0°C Global Warming Scenarios: An Analysis for Brazil  |
| Year | 2021 |
| Access Date | 2024, May 19 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 2788 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Marengo, José A. 2 Camarinha, Pedro I. 3 Alves, Lincoln Muniz 4 Diniz, Fabio 5 Betts, Richard A. |
| Group | 1 2 3 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 2 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 5 University of Exeter |
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 2 3 lincoln.alves@inpe.br |
| Journal | Frontiers in Climate |
| Volume | 3 |
| Pages | 1-13 |
| History (UTC) | 2021-06-17 12:18:22 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:27:08 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Version Type | publisher |
| Keywords | climate extremes climate-related disasters climate change disaster risk reduction vulnerability |
| Abstract | With the inclusion of demographic characteristics of the population living in vulnerable areas, a combination of empirical and climate models was used to project changes to climate and in hydro-geo-meteorological disasters in Brazil. This study investigated the effect of extreme rainfall changes and the risk of floods and landslides under 1.5, 2.0, and 4.0◦ C global warming levels (GWLs). Projections from a large ensemble of pre-CMIP6 models and different warming levels show a remarkable change in heavy precipitation. As a result, with increasing warming this enhances the risk of landslides and flash floods in the context of climate change. Comparisons of vulnerability and change in potential impacts of landslides and floods show that three regions, highly densely populated areas, are the most exposed to landslides and floods. The Southern and Southeastern of Brazil stand out, including metropolitan regions with high economic development and densely populated, which may be those where disasters can intensify both in terms of frequency and magnitude. The eastern portion of the Northeast is also signaled as one of the affected regions due to its high vulnerability and exposure since the present period, although the projections of future climate do not allow conclusive results regarding the intensification of extreme rainfall events in scenarios below 4◦C. The main metropolitan regions and tourist resorts, and key infrastructure in Brazil are located in those regions. This study highlights the importance of environmental policies to protect human lives and minimize financial losses in the coming decades and reinforces the need for decision-making, monitoring, and early warning systems to better manage disasters as part of disaster risk reduction risk management. |
| Area | CST |
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Extreme Rainfall and... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| Language | pt |
| Target File | marengo_extreme.pdf |
| User Group | lattes |
| Reader Group | administrator lattes simone |
| Visibility | shown |
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
| Update Permission | not transferred |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE |
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 1 |
| Dissemination | PORTALCAPES |
| Host Collection | dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Notes | Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 8: Trabalho decente e crescimento econômico |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn lineage mark mirrorrepository month nextedition number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | simone |
| update | |